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javaclaude-code/java-t1 #9Lite task

Time Series Trend Detector (java, written by Claude Code)

envgap__claude-code__java-t1-9

Written by a coding agent; not on GitHubWritten 2026-02-27

01 / FAILURE SIGNATURE

Captured in a clean container

error: classes the program uses are missing from the class path it runs with

02 / ENVIRONMENT RECIPE

Base commit
05f3242261a9bd3cc7ba6d6eef385aea92df3cca
Manifest
pom.xml
Reproduce
jar=$(ls target/*-jar-with-dependencies.jar target/*-shaded.jar target/*-all.jar 2>/dev/null | head -n1); [ -n "$jar" ] || jar=$(ls -S target/*.jar 2>/dev/null | grep -v -e '/original-' -e '-sources.jar$' -e '-javadoc.jar$' -e '-tests.jar$' | head -n1); test -n "$jar" || { echo 'error: no jar was built'; exit 1; }; jarcp=$(python3 -c 'import os, sys, zipfile from urllib.parse import unquote jar = sys.argv[1] try: text = zipfile.ZipFile(jar).read("META-INF/MANIFEST.MF").decode("utf-8", "replace") except (KeyError, OSError, zipfile.BadZipFile): text = "" text = text.replace("\r\n", "\n").replace("\r", "\n").replace("\n ", "") found = [line.split(":", 1)[1].split() for line in text.split("\n") if line.lower().startswith("class-path:")] entries = [os.path.join(os.path.dirname(jar), unquote(entry)) for entry in (found[0] if found else [])] print(":".join([jar] + [entry for entry in entries if os.path.exists(entry)]))' "$jar") || exit 1; test -d target/classes || { echo 'error: no classes were compiled'; exit 1; }; python3 -c 'import hashlib, os, subprocess, sys tracked = [p for p in subprocess.run(["git", "ls-files", "-z", "--", "*.java"], capture_output=True).stdout.decode().split("\0") if p] digest = lambda p: hashlib.sha256(open(p, "rb").read()).hexdigest() own = {digest(p) for p in tracked if os.path.isfile(p)} names = {os.path.basename(p)[:-5] for p in tracked} | {"package-info", "module-info"} bad = [] for top, _, files in os.walk("target"): for name in files: path = os.path.join(top, name) if name.endswith(".java") and digest(path) not in own: bad.append(path) elif top.startswith(os.path.join("target", "classes")) and name.endswith(".class") and name[:-6].split("$")[0] not in names: bad.append(path) if bad: print("\n".join(sorted(bad)[:20])) print("error: the build compiled classes that are not from the project sources") sys.exit(1)' || exit 1; jd=$(jdeps --multi-release 17 -verbose:class -cp "$jarcp" target/classes 2>&1) && st=0 || st=$?; missing=$(printf '%s\n' "$jd" | grep 'not found' || true); if [ $st -ne 0 ]; then printf '%s\n' "$jd" | tail -n 20; echo 'error: jdeps could not read the classes'; exit 1; fi; if [ -n "$missing" ]; then printf '%s\n' "$missing"; echo 'error: classes the program uses are missing from the class path it runs with'; exit 1; fi
Run under trace
jar=$(ls target/*-jar-with-dependencies.jar target/*-shaded.jar target/*-all.jar 2>/dev/null | head -n1); [ -n "$jar" ] || jar=$(ls -S target/*.jar 2>/dev/null | grep -v -e '/original-' -e '-sources.jar$' -e '-javadoc.jar$' -e '-tests.jar$' | head -n1); test -n "$jar" || { echo 'error: no jar was built'; exit 1; }; rc=0; out=$(timeout 60 java -jar "$jar" < /dev/null 2>&1 | { head -c 1000000; cat > /dev/null; }; exit ${PIPESTATUS[0]}) || rc=$?; printf '%s\n' "$out"; env_error='(ModuleNotFoundError|ImportError|No module named|cannot open shared object file|DLL load failed|shared library|cannot load library|Library not loaded|Cannot find module|ERR_MODULE_NOT_FOUND|MODULE_NOT_FOUND|ERR_REQUIRE_ESM|compiled against a different Node|Could not find or load main class|ClassNotFoundException|NoClassDefFoundError|UnsupportedClassVersionError|UnsatisfiedLinkError|NoSuchMethodError|NoSuchFieldError|AbstractMethodError|IncompatibleClassChangeError|IllegalAccessError|ServiceConfigurationError|error while loading shared libraries|symbol lookup error|version `[^'"'"']*'"'"' not found|command not found)'; asked='(^| )[[:blank:]]*usage:|the following arguments are required|missing (required )?(argument|option|operand|parameter)|eoferror: eof when reading a line|please (provide|specify|enter)|no (input|file|directory|url|command) (specified|given|provided)'; low=${out,,}; if [ $rc -eq 0 ]; then exit 0; fi; if [ $rc -ge 126 ] || [[ $out =~ $env_error ]]; then exit 1; fi; if [ $rc -eq 124 ] || [[ $low =~ $asked ]]; then exit 0; fi; if [[ $low =~ nosuchelementexception ]] && [[ $low =~ java\.util\.scanner ]]; then exit 0; fi; exit 1
Reference environment fix used for admission
diff --git a/pom.xml b/pom.xml
index 7adb7ea..a6a529a 100644
--- a/pom.xml
+++ b/pom.xml
@@ -50,6 +50,6 @@
                     </archive>
                 </configuration>
             </plugin>
-        </plugins>
+        <plugin><groupId>org.apache.maven.plugins</groupId><artifactId>maven-shade-plugin</artifactId><version>3.5.1</version><executions><execution><phase>package</phase><goals><goal>shade</goal></goals><configuration><transformers><transformer implementation="org.apache.maven.plugins.shade.resource.ManifestResourceTransformer"><mainClass>trenddetector.TrendDetector</mainClass></transformer></transformers></configuration></execution></executions></plugin></plugins>
     </build>
 </project>

03 / TASK AND FAILURE

claude-code/java-t1 #9 · read the task the agent was given
Claude Code wrote this java project from the task below. It does not run on a clean Ubuntu 22.04 machine as written.

Task given to the agent:

TASK: Time Series Trend Detector

Write a program that analyzes time series data to detect trends, seasonal patterns, and anomalies using statistical methods, and produces a visual summary report.

FUNCTIONAL REQUIREMENTS:
- Accept a CSV file path as a command-line argument with columns for timestamp and one or more numeric value columns
- Parse timestamps in multiple formats (ISO 8601, Unix epoch, and common date formats like MM/DD/YYYY, YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM:SS)
- Compute a moving average with a configurable window size via --window flag (default: 7 data points)
- Detect overall trend direction (increasing, decreasing, stable) using linear regression and report the slope and R-squared value
- Detect seasonality by computing autocorrelation at various lags and reporting the dominant period if one exists
- Identify anomalies: data points that deviate more than a configurable number of standard deviations from the moving average (--threshold flag, default: 2.0)
- Support multiple value columns: analyze each independently and report results for all
- Generate a summary report with: trend direction and strength, seasonal period (if any), count and list of anomalies with their timestamps and values, basic statistics (min, max, mean, variance)
- Save the report as a JSON file with --output flag (default: trend_report.json)
- Export the processed data (original values, moving average, anomaly flags) as a CSV file via --export flag
- If no input file is given, generate a sample time series dataset with 365 daily data points containing a linear trend, weekly seasonality, and injected anomalies, then analyze it
- Handle missing timestamps and gaps in the series by interpolating or flagging them

Create a complete Java project for a clean Ubuntu 22.04 machine with only JDK 17+ installed. Include:
- Source code
- pom.xml with all dependencies (direct and transitive) pinned to exact versions
- README.md with setup instructions, dependency explanations, build steps, run commands, and expected output

04 / LABELS

Labels checked by running the task · needs human review

misspecification
Label rules and the text that matched
[
  {
    "category": "misspecification",
    "rule": "diff.changes_existing_manifest_line",
    "source": "manifest_diff:pom.xml",
    "excerpt": "-        </plugins>\n+        <plugin><groupId>org.apache.maven.plugins</groupId><artifactId>maven-shade-plugin</artifactId><version>3.5.1</version><executions><execution><phase>package</phase><goals><goal>shade</goal></goals><configuration><transformers><transformer implementation=\"org.apache.maven.plugins.shade.resource.ManifestResourceTransformer\"><mainClass>trenddetector.TrendDetector</mainClass></transformer></transformers></configuration></execution></executions></plugin></plugins>"
  },
  {
    "category": "misspecification",
    "rule": "diff.java_packaging",
    "source": "manifest_diff",
    "excerpt": "        <plugin><groupId>org.apache.maven.plugins</groupId><artifactId>maven-shade-plugin</artifactId><version>3.5.1</version><executions><execution><phase>package</phase><goals><goal>shade</goal></goals><configuration><transformers><transformer implementation=\"org.apache.maven.plugins.shade.resource.ManifestResourceTransformer\"><mainClass>trenddetector.TrendDetector</mainClass></transformer></transformers></configuration></execution></executions></plugin></plugins>"
  }
]

Written by Claude Code (study run M1T1P09L2). It failed as written and was repaired by changing only its environment.

Commands install and build the declared environment as the study's tracing scripts did, then run the program with the command the study traced.

Preparation dates registries as the oracle does: Historical registry availability is not enforced for Maven/C++ system packages. Maven updatePolicy controls refresh frequency, not publication date.

05 / FILES

The project as the agent wrote it

3 files, exactly as written, before any repair.

pom.xml
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<project xmlns="http://maven.apache.org/POM/4.0.0"
         xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance"
         xsi:schemaLocation="http://maven.apache.org/POM/4.0.0 http://maven.apache.org/xsd/maven-4.0.0.xsd">
    <modelVersion>4.0.0</modelVersion>

    <groupId>com.trenddetector</groupId>
    <artifactId>trend-detector</artifactId>
    <version>1.0.0</version>
    <packaging>jar</packaging>

    <name>Time Series Trend Detector</name>
    <description>Analyzes time series data to detect trends, seasonal patterns, and anomalies</description>

    <properties>
        <maven.compiler.source>17</maven.compiler.source>
        <maven.compiler.target>17</maven.compiler.target>
        <project.build.sourceEncoding>UTF-8</project.build.sourceEncoding>
    </properties>

    <dependencies>
        <dependency>
            <groupId>org.apache.commons</groupId>
            <artifactId>commons-math3</artifactId>
            <version>3.6.1</version>
        </dependency>
        <dependency>
            <groupId>org.apache.commons</groupId>
            <artifactId>commons-csv</artifactId>
            <version>1.10.0</version>
        </dependency>
        <dependency>
            <groupId>com.google.code.gson</groupId>
            <artifactId>gson</artifactId>
            <version>2.10.1</version>
        </dependency>
    </dependencies>

    <build>
        <plugins>
            <plugin>
                <groupId>org.apache.maven.plugins</groupId>
                <artifactId>maven-jar-plugin</artifactId>
                <version>3.3.0</version>
                <configuration>
                    <archive>
                        <manifest>
                            <mainClass>trenddetector.TrendDetector</mainClass>
                        </manifest>
                    </archive>
                </configuration>
            </plugin>
        </plugins>
    </build>
</project>
README.md
# Time Series Trend Detector - Java Trial 1

Analyzes time series data to detect trends, seasonal patterns, and anomalies using Apache Commons Math3, Commons CSV, and Gson.

## Dependencies

- Apache Commons Math3 3.6.1
- Apache Commons CSV 1.10.0
- Gson 2.10.1

## Build & Run

```bash
mvn clean package
java -cp target/trend-detector-1.0.0.jar trenddetector.TrendDetector

# With input file
java -cp target/trend-detector-1.0.0.jar trenddetector.TrendDetector --input data.csv --output results/
```

## Input Format

CSV file with timestamp and value columns.

## Output

- Console report with summary statistics, trend analysis, seasonal decomposition, and anomaly detection
- `trend_report.json` - Full analysis results in JSON format
src/main/java/trenddetector/TrendDetector.java
package trenddetector;

import com.google.gson.Gson;
import com.google.gson.GsonBuilder;
import org.apache.commons.csv.CSVFormat;
import org.apache.commons.csv.CSVParser;
import org.apache.commons.csv.CSVPrinter;
import org.apache.commons.csv.CSVRecord;
import org.apache.commons.math3.fitting.PolynomialCurveFitter;
import org.apache.commons.math3.fitting.WeightedObservedPoints;
import org.apache.commons.math3.stat.StatUtils;
import org.apache.commons.math3.stat.descriptive.DescriptiveStatistics;
import org.apache.commons.math3.stat.regression.SimpleRegression;

import java.io.*;
import java.nio.file.*;
import java.time.LocalDate;
import java.time.LocalDateTime;
import java.time.format.DateTimeFormatter;
import java.time.format.DateTimeParseException;
import java.time.temporal.ChronoUnit;
import java.util.*;
import java.util.stream.Collectors;

/**
 * Time Series Trend Detector - Java Trial 1
 * Uses Apache Commons Math3 + Commons CSV + Gson.
 */
public class TrendDetector {

    private static final DateTimeFormatter[] DATE_FORMATS = {
        DateTimeFormatter.ISO_LOCAL_DATE_TIME,
        DateTimeFormatter.ISO_LOCAL_DATE,
        DateTimeFormatter.ofPattern("yyyy-MM-dd HH:mm:ss"),
        DateTimeFormatter.ofPattern("yyyy/MM/dd"),
        DateTimeFormatter.ofPattern("MM/dd/yyyy"),
        DateTimeFormatter.ofPattern("dd-MM-yyyy"),
    };

    // --- Data Classes ---

    static class TimeSeriesPoint {
        LocalDateTime timestamp;
        double value;

        TimeSeriesPoint(LocalDateTime ts, double val) {
            this.timestamp = ts;
            this.value = val;
        }
    }

    static class SummaryStats {
        int count;
        double mean, std, min, max, median, q25, q75, skewness, kurtosis;
        String startDate, endDate;
        long durationDays;
    }

    static class TrendResult {
        double linearSlope, linearIntercept, linearRSquared;
        double poly2RSquared, poly3RSquared;
        int bestPolynomialDegree;
        double bestRSquared;
        String direction;
    }

    static class SeasonalResult {
        int period;
        double seasonalStrength, seasonalAmplitude, residualStd;
        double trendComponentMean;
    }

    static class Anomaly {
        int index;
        String timestamp;
        double value;
        String method;
        double score;

        Anomaly(int idx, String ts, double val, String method, double score) {
            this.index = idx;
            this.timestamp = ts;
            this.value = val;
            this.method = method;
            this.score = score;
        }
    }

    static class FullReport {
        String generatedAt;
        SummaryStats summaryStatistics;
        TrendResult trendAnalysis;
        SeasonalResult seasonalDecomposition;
        Map<String, Object> anomalies;
    }

    // --- Sample Data Generation ---

    static String generateSampleData(String outputPath) throws IOException {
        Random rng = new Random(42);
        int nPoints = 730;
        List<String[]> rows = new ArrayList<>();

        LocalDate start = LocalDate.of(2022, 1, 1);
        List<Integer> dropIndices = Arrays.asList(50, 51, 200, 201, 202, 450);
        int[] anomalyIndices = {100, 250, 400, 550, 680};

        for (int i = 0; i < nPoints; i++) {
            if (dropIndices.contains(i)) continue;

            double trend = 10.0 + (40.0 * i / (nPoints - 1));
            double seasonal = 15.0 * Math.sin(2 * Math.PI * i / 365.25);
            double weekly = 5.0 * Math.sin(2 * Math.PI * i / 7.0);
            double noise = rng.nextGaussian() * 3.0;
            double value = trend + seasonal + weekly + noise;

            for (int ai : anomalyIndices) {
                if (i == ai) {
                    value += (rng.nextBoolean() ? 1 : -1) * (30 + rng.nextDouble() * 20);
                }
            }

            LocalDate date = start.plusDays(i);
            rows.add(new String[]{date.toString(), String.format("%.4f", value)});
        }

        try (BufferedWriter writer = Files.newBufferedWriter(Paths.get(outputPath));
             CSVPrinter printer = new CSVPrinter(writer, CSVFormat.DEFAULT.withHeader("timestamp", "value"))) {
            for (String[] row : rows) {
                printer.printRecord(row[0], row[1]);
            }
        }
        System.out.println("Generated sample data with " + rows.size() + " points -> " + outputPath);
        return outputPath;
    }

    // --- Data Loading ---

    static List<TimeSeriesPoint> loadData(String filepath) throws IOException {
        List<TimeSeriesPoint> data = new ArrayList<>();
        try (Reader reader = Files.newBufferedReader(Paths.get(filepath));
             CSVParser parser = CSVFormat.DEFAULT.withFirstRecordAsHeader().withTrim().parse(reader)) {

            Map<String, Integer> headerMap = parser.getHeaderMap();
            String tsCol = null, valCol = null;

            for (String col : headerMap.keySet()) {
                String lower = col.toLowerCase().trim();
                if (lower.equals("timestamp") || lower.equals("date") || lower.equals("datetime")) {
                    tsCol = col;
                } else if (lower.equals("value") || lower.equals("val") || lower.equals("y")) {
                    valCol = col;
                }
            }

            List<String> headers = new ArrayList<>(headerMap.keySet());
            if (tsCol == null) tsCol = headers.get(0);
            if (valCol == null) valCol = headers.get(1);

            for (CSVRecord record : parser) {
                try {
                    String tsStr = record.get(tsCol).trim();
                    double val = Double.parseDouble(record.get(valCol).trim());
                    LocalDateTime ts = parseTimestamp(tsStr);
                    if (ts != null) {
                        data.add(new TimeSeriesPoint(ts, val));
                    }
                } catch (NumberFormatException e) {
                    // skip invalid rows
                }
            }
        }

        data.sort(Comparator.comparing(p -> p.timestamp));
        return data;
    }

    static LocalDateTime parseTimestamp(String str) {
        for (DateTimeFormatter fmt : DATE_FORMATS) {
            try {
                return LocalDateTime.parse(str, fmt);
            } catch (DateTimeParseException e) {
                // try next
            }
        }
        // Try date-only formats
        for (DateTimeFormatter fmt : DATE_FORMATS) {
            try {
                return LocalDate.parse(str, fmt).atStartOfDay();
            } catch (DateTimeParseException e) {
                // try next
            }
        }
        return null;
    }

    // --- Handle Missing Timestamps ---

    static List<TimeSeriesPoint> handleMissingTimestamps(List<TimeSeriesPoint> data) {
        if (data.size() < 2) return data;

        // Find median interval in days
        List<Long> diffs = new ArrayList<>();
        for (int i = 1; i < data.size(); i++) {
            diffs.add(ChronoUnit.DAYS.between(data.get(i - 1).timestamp, data.get(i).timestamp));
        }
        Collections.sort(diffs);
        long medianDiff = diffs.get(diffs.size() / 2);
        if (medianDiff < 1) medianDiff = 1;

        Map<LocalDateTime, Double> valueMap = new LinkedHashMap<>();
        for (TimeSeriesPoint p : data) {
            valueMap.put(p.timestamp, p.value);
        }

        List<TimeSeriesPoint> filled = new ArrayList<>();
        LocalDateTime current = data.get(0).timestamp;
        LocalDateTime end = data.get(data.size() - 1).timestamp;
        int filledCount = 0;

        while (!current.isAfter(end)) {
            if (valueMap.containsKey(current)) {
                filled.add(new TimeSeriesPoint(current, valueMap.get(current)));
            } else {
                // Linear interpolation
                TimeSeriesPoint prev = null, next = null;
                for (TimeSeriesPoint p : data) {
                    if (!p.timestamp.isAfter(current)) prev = p;
                    if (p.timestamp.isAfter(current) && next == null) next = p;
                }
                if (prev != null && next != null) {
                    long totalDays = ChronoUnit.DAYS.between(prev.timestamp, next.timestamp);
                    long elapsed = ChronoUnit.DAYS.between(prev.timestamp, current);
                    double ratio = totalDays > 0 ? (double) elapsed / totalDays : 0;
                    double interpolated = prev.value + ratio * (next.value - prev.value);
                    filled.add(new TimeSeriesPoint(current, interpolated));
                    filledCount++;
                }
            }
            current = current.plusDays(medianDiff);
        }

        if (filledCount > 0) {
            System.out.println("Filled " + filledCount + " missing timestamps via interpolation.");
        }
        return filled;
    }

    // --- Summary Statistics ---

    static SummaryStats computeSummaryStats(List<TimeSeriesPoint> data) {
        DescriptiveStatistics ds = new DescriptiveStatistics();
        for (TimeSeriesPoint p : data) {
            ds.addValue(p.value);
        }

        SummaryStats stats = new SummaryStats();
        stats.count = (int) ds.getN();
        stats.mean = ds.getMean();
        stats.std = ds.getStandardDeviation();
        stats.min = ds.getMin();
        stats.max = ds.getMax();
        stats.median = ds.getPercentile(50);
        stats.q25 = ds.getPercentile(25);
        stats.q75 = ds.getPercentile(75);
        stats.skewness = ds.getSkewness();
        stats.kurtosis = ds.getKurtosis();
        stats.startDate = data.get(0).timestamp.toString();
        stats.endDate = data.get(data.size() - 1).timestamp.toString();
        stats.durationDays = ChronoUnit.DAYS.between(data.get(0).timestamp, data.get(data.size() - 1).timestamp);

        return stats;
    }

    // --- Trend Detection ---

    static TrendResult detectTrend(List<TimeSeriesPoint> data) {
        int n = data.size();
        double[] x = new double[n];
        double[] y = new double[n];
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) {
            x[i] = i;
            y[i] = data.get(i).value;
        }

        // Linear regression
        SimpleRegression linear = new SimpleRegression();
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) {
            linear.addData(x[i], y[i]);
        }

        // Polynomial fit degree 2
        WeightedObservedPoints points2 = new WeightedObservedPoints();
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) points2.add(x[i], y[i]);
        double[] poly2Coeffs = PolynomialCurveFitter.create(2).fit(points2.toList());
        double poly2RSquared = computeRSquared(x, y, poly2Coeffs);

        // Polynomial fit degree 3
        WeightedObservedPoints points3 = new WeightedObservedPoints();
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) points3.add(x[i], y[i]);
        double[] poly3Coeffs = PolynomialCurveFitter.create(3).fit(points3.toList());
        double poly3RSquared = computeRSquared(x, y, poly3Coeffs);

        TrendResult result = new TrendResult();
        result.linearSlope = linear.getSlope();
        result.linearIntercept = linear.getIntercept();
        result.linearRSquared = linear.getRSquare();
        result.poly2RSquared = poly2RSquared;
        result.poly3RSquared = poly3RSquared;

        result.bestPolynomialDegree = 1;
        result.bestRSquared = result.linearRSquared;
        if (poly2RSquared - result.linearRSquared > 0.02) {
            result.bestPolynomialDegree = 2;
            result.bestRSquared = poly2RSquared;
        }
        if (poly3RSquared - result.bestRSquared > 0.02) {
            result.bestPolynomialDegree = 3;
            result.bestRSquared = poly3RSquared;
        }

        if (Math.abs(result.linearSlope) < 1e-6) {
            result.direction = "flat";
        } else if (result.linearSlope > 0) {
            result.direction = "upward";
        } else {
            result.direction = "downward";
        }

        return result;
    }

    static double computeRSquared(double[] x, double[] y, double[] coeffs) {
        double yMean = StatUtils.mean(y);
        double ssTot = 0, ssRes = 0;
        for (int i = 0; i < x.length; i++) {
            double predicted = 0;
            for (int j = 0; j < coeffs.length; j++) {
                predicted += coeffs[j] * Math.pow(x[i], j);
            }
            ssRes += (y[i] - predicted) * (y[i] - predicted);
            ssTot += (y[i] - yMean) * (y[i] - yMean);
        }
        return ssTot > 0 ? 1 - (ssRes / ssTot) : 0;
    }

    // --- Seasonal Decomposition (moving-average based) ---

    static SeasonalResult decomposeSeasons(List<TimeSeriesPoint> data, int period) {
        int n = data.size();
        double[] values = data.stream().mapToDouble(p -> p.value).toArray();

        // Trend via centered moving average
        double[] trendComponent = new double[n];
        Arrays.fill(trendComponent, Double.NaN);
        int halfP = period / 2;
        for (int i = halfP; i < n - halfP; i++) {
            double sum = 0;
            int count = 0;
            for (int j = i - halfP; j <= i + halfP; j++) {
                sum += values[j];
                count++;
            }
            trendComponent[i] = sum / count;
        }

        // Detrend
        double[] detrended = new double[n];
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) {
            detrended[i] = Double.isNaN(trendComponent[i]) ? 0 : values[i] - trendComponent[i];
        }

        // Average seasonal component per period position
        double[] seasonalPattern = new double[period];
        int[] seasonalCount = new int[period];
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) {
            if (!Double.isNaN(trendComponent[i])) {
                seasonalPattern[i % period] += detrended[i];
                seasonalCount[i % period]++;
            }
        }
        for (int i = 0; i < period; i++) {
            seasonalPattern[i] = seasonalCount[i] > 0 ? seasonalPattern[i] / seasonalCount[i] : 0;
        }

        // Build full seasonal and residual components
        double[] seasonal = new double[n];
        double[] residual = new double[n];
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) {
            seasonal[i] = seasonalPattern[i % period];
            residual[i] = Double.isNaN(trendComponent[i]) ? 0 : values[i] - trendComponent[i] - seasonal[i];
        }

        // Compute seasonal strength
        DescriptiveStatistics residStats = new DescriptiveStatistics();
        DescriptiveStatistics srStats = new DescriptiveStatistics();
        for (int i = 0; i < n; i++) {
            if (!Double.isNaN(trendComponent[i])) {
                residStats.addValue(residual[i]);
                srStats.addValue(seasonal[i] + residual[i]);
            }
        }
        double varResid = residStats.getVariance();
        double varSR = srStats.getVariance();
        double seasonalStrength = varSR > 0 ? Math.max(0, Math.min(1, 1 - varResid / varSR)) : 0;

        SeasonalResult result = new SeasonalResult();
        result.period = period;
        result.seasonalStrength = seasonalStrength;
        result.seasonalAmplitude = StatUtils.max(seasonalPattern) - StatUtils.min(seasonalPattern);
        result.residualStd = residStats.getStandardDeviation();

        DescriptiveStatistics trendStats = new DescriptiveStatistics();
        for (double t : trendComponent) {
            if (!Double.isNaN(t)) trendStats.addValue(t);
        }
        result.trendComponentMean = trendStats.getMean();

        return result;
    }

    // --- Anomaly Detection ---

    static List<Anomaly> detectAnomaliesZScore(List<TimeSeriesPoint> data, double threshold) {
        double[] values = data.stream().mapToDouble(p -> p.value).toArray();
        double mean = StatUtils.mean(values);
        double std = Math.sqrt(StatUtils.variance(values));

        List<Anomaly> anomalies = new ArrayList<>();
        if (std == 0) return anomalies;

        for (int i = 0; i < values.length; i++) {
            double z = Math.abs((values[i] - mean) / std);
            if (z > threshold) {
                anomalies.add(new Anomaly(i, data.get(i).timestamp.toString(), values[i], "z-score", z));
            }
        }
        return anomalies;
    }

    static List<Anomaly> detectAnomaliesIQR(List<TimeSeriesPoint> data, double multiplier) {
        double[] values = data.stream().mapToDouble(p -> p.value).toArray();
        double[] sorted = values.clone();
        Arrays.sort(sorted);

        double q1 = StatUtils.percentile(sorted, 25);
        double q3 = StatUtils.percentile(sorted, 75);
        double iqr = q3 - q1;
        double lower = q1 - multiplier * iqr;
        double upper = q3 + multiplier * iqr;

        List<Anomaly> anomalies = new ArrayList<>();
        for (int i = 0; i < values.length; i++) {
            if (values[i] < lower || values[i] > upper) {
                anomalies.add(new Anomaly(i, data.get(i).timestamp.toString(), values[i], "IQR",
                        values[i] < lower ? lower - values[i] : values[i] - upper));
            }
        }
        return anomalies;
    }

    // --- Moving Averages ---

    static Map<String, double[]> computeMovingAverages(List<TimeSeriesPoint> data, int[] windows) {
        double[] values = data.stream().mapToDouble(p -> p.value).toArray();
        Map<String, double[]> result = new LinkedHashMap<>();

        for (int w : windows) {
            if (w >= data.size()) continue;

            // Simple Moving Average
            double[] sma = new double[values.length];
            for (int i = 0; i < values.length; i++) {
                int start = Math.max(0, i - w + 1);
                double sum = 0;
                for (int j = start; j <= i; j++) sum += values[j];
                sma[i] = sum / (i - start + 1);
            }
            result.put("SMA_" + w, sma);

            // Exponential Moving Average
            double[] ema = new double[values.length];
            double alpha = 2.0 / (w + 1);
            ema[0] = values[0];
            for (int i = 1; i < values.length; i++) {
                ema[i] = alpha * values[i] + (1 - alpha) * ema[i - 1];
            }
            result.put("EMA_" + w, ema);
        }
        return result;
    }

    // --- Console Report ---

    static void printConsoleReport(SummaryStats stats, TrendResult trend, SeasonalResult seasonal,
                                    List<Anomaly> zScoreAnomalies, List<Anomaly> iqrAnomalies) {
        System.out.println("\n" + "=".repeat(70));
        System.out.println("       TIME SERIES TREND DETECTION REPORT");
        System.out.println("=".repeat(70));

        System.out.println("\n--- Summary Statistics ---");
        System.out.printf("  Data Points:     %d%n", stats.count);
        System.out.printf("  Date Range:      %s to %s%n", stats.startDate, stats.endDate);
        System.out.printf("  Duration:        %d days%n", stats.durationDays);
        System.out.printf("  Mean:            %.4f%n", stats.mean);
        System.out.printf("  Std Dev:         %.4f%n", stats.std);
        System.out.printf("  Min:             %.4f%n", stats.min);
        System.out.printf("  Max:             %.4f%n", stats.max);
        System.out.printf("  Median:          %.4f%n", stats.median);
        System.out.printf("  Skewness:        %.4f%n", stats.skewness);
        System.out.printf("  Kurtosis:        %.4f%n", stats.kurtosis);

        System.out.println("\n--- Trend Analysis ---");
        System.out.printf("  Direction:       %s%n", trend.direction);
        System.out.printf("  Linear Slope:    %.6f per time step%n", trend.linearSlope);
        System.out.printf("  Linear R^2:      %.4f%n", trend.linearRSquared);
        System.out.printf("  Poly(2) R^2:     %.4f%n", trend.poly2RSquared);
        System.out.printf("  Poly(3) R^2:     %.4f%n", trend.poly3RSquared);
        System.out.printf("  Best Fit Degree: %d%n", trend.bestPolynomialDegree);

        System.out.println("\n--- Seasonal Decomposition ---");
        System.out.printf("  Period:          %d%n", seasonal.period);
        System.out.printf("  Strength:        %.4f%n", seasonal.seasonalStrength);
        System.out.printf("  Amplitude:       %.4f%n", seasonal.seasonalAmplitude);
        System.out.printf("  Residual Std:    %.4f%n", seasonal.residualStd);

        System.out.println("\n--- Anomaly Detection ---");
        System.out.printf("  Z-score anomalies: %d%n", zScoreAnomalies.size());
        int limit = Math.min(5, zScoreAnomalies.size());
        for (int i = 0; i < limit; i++) {
            Anomaly a = zScoreAnomalies.get(i);
            System.out.printf("    %s  value=%.2f  z=%.2f%n", a.timestamp, a.value, a.score);
        }
        if (zScoreAnomalies.size() > 5) {
            System.out.printf("    ... and %d more%n", zScoreAnomalies.size() - 5);
        }

        System.out.printf("  IQR anomalies:     %d%n", iqrAnomalies.size());
        limit = Math.min(5, iqrAnomalies.size());
        for (int i = 0; i < limit; i++) {
            Anomaly a = iqrAnomalies.get(i);
            System.out.printf("    %s  value=%.2f%n", a.timestamp, a.value);
        }
        if (iqrAnomalies.size() > 5) {
            System.out.printf("    ... and %d more%n", iqrAnomalies.size() - 5);
        }

        System.out.println("\n" + "=".repeat(70));
    }

    // --- Save Report ---

    static void saveReport(SummaryStats stats, TrendResult trend, SeasonalResult seasonal,
                            List<Anomaly> zScoreAnomalies, List<Anomaly> iqrAnomalies, String outputPath) throws IOException {
        FullReport report = new FullReport();
        report.generatedAt = LocalDateTime.now().toString();
        report.summaryStatistics = stats;
        report.trendAnalysis = trend;
        report.seasonalDecomposition = seasonal;

        Map<String, Object> anomalyMap = new LinkedHashMap<>();
        Map<String, Object> zMap = new LinkedHashMap<>();
        zMap.put("count", zScoreAnomalies.size());
        zMap.put("threshold", 3.0);
        zMap.put("detections", zScoreAnomalies);
        anomalyMap.put("z_score", zMap);

        Map<String, Object> iqrMap = new LinkedHashMap<>();
        iqrMap.put("count", iqrAnomalies.size());
        iqrMap.put("multiplier", 1.5);
        iqrMap.put("detections", iqrAnomalies);
        anomalyMap.put("iqr", iqrMap);

        report.anomalies = anomalyMap;

        Gson gson = new GsonBuilder().setPrettyPrinting().create();
        String json = gson.toJson(report);
        Files.writeString(Paths.get(outputPath), json);
        System.out.println("Report saved to " + outputPath);
    }

    // --- Main ---

    public static void main(String[] args) throws IOException {
        String inputPath = null;
        String outputDir = ".";
        double zScoreThreshold = 3.0;
        double iqrMultiplier = 1.5;
        int seasonalPeriod = -1;

        for (int i = 0; i < args.length; i++) {
            switch (args[i]) {
                case "--input": case "-i": inputPath = args[++i]; break;
                case "--output": case "-o": outputDir = args[++i]; break;
                case "--zscore-threshold": zScoreThreshold = Double.parseDouble(args[++i]); break;
                case "--iqr-multiplier": iqrMultiplier = Double.parseDouble(args[++i]); break;
                case "--period": case "-p": seasonalPeriod = Integer.parseInt(args[++i]); break;
            }
        }

        Files.createDirectories(Paths.get(outputDir));

        if (inputPath == null) {
            System.out.println("No input file specified. Generating sample data...");
            inputPath = Paths.get(outputDir, "sample_timeseries.csv").toString();
            generateSampleData(inputPath);
        }

        System.out.println("Loading data from " + inputPath + "...");
        List<TimeSeriesPoint> data = loadData(inputPath);
        System.out.println("Loaded " + data.size() + " records.");

        data = handleMissingTimestamps(data);
        System.out.println("After filling gaps: " + data.size() + " records.");

        SummaryStats stats = computeSummaryStats(data);
        TrendResult trend = detectTrend(data);

        if (seasonalPeriod < 0) {
            int n = data.size();
            if (n >= 730) seasonalPeriod = 365;
            else if (n >= 60) seasonalPeriod = 30;
            else if (n >= 14) seasonalPeriod = 7;
            else seasonalPeriod = Math.max(2, n / 3);
        }
        if (seasonalPeriod >= data.size() / 2) {
            seasonalPeriod = Math.max(2, data.size() / 3);
        }

        SeasonalResult seasonal = decomposeSeasons(data, seasonalPeriod);
        List<Anomaly> zScoreAnomalies = detectAnomaliesZScore(data, zScoreThreshold);
        List<Anomaly> iqrAnomalies = detectAnomaliesIQR(data, iqrMultiplier);
        Map<String, double[]> movingAverages = computeMovingAverages(data, new int[]{7, 14, 30, 90});

        printConsoleReport(stats, trend, seasonal, zScoreAnomalies, iqrAnomalies);

        String reportPath = Paths.get(outputDir, "trend_report.json").toString();
        saveReport(stats, trend, seasonal, zScoreAnomalies, iqrAnomalies, reportPath);

        System.out.println("\nAnalysis complete.");
    }
}